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Kuranga C, Pillay N (2021) A comparative study of nonlinear regression and autoregressive techniques in hybrid with particle swarm optimization for time-series forecasting.
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Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol 21(1):148–162 Wei Y, Chen MC (2012) Forecasting the short-term metro passenger flow with empirical mode decomposition and neural networks. Zhang X, Lai KK, Wang SY (2008) A new approach for crude oil price analysis based on empirical mode decomposition. Zhu G, Peng S, Lao Y, Su Q, Sun Q (2021) Short-Term Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on the EMD-Fbprophet-LSTM Method. International workshop on multiple classifier systems. Knowl Based Syst 145:182–196ĭietterich TG (2000) Ensemble methods in machine learning. Qiu X, Suganthan PN, Amaratunga GA (2018) Ensemble incremental learning random vector functional link network for short-term electric load forecasting. In: European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks (ESANN) Gepperth A, Hammer B (2016) Incremental learning algorithms and applications. Mathematical Problems in Engineering.Ĭuaresma JC, Hlouskova J, Kossmeier S, Obersteiner M (2004) Forecasting electricity spot-prices using linear univariate time-series models.
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A hybrid model of EMD and PSO-SVR for short-term load forecasting in residential quarters. Sousa JC, Jorge HM, Neves LP (2014) Short-term load forecasting based on support vector regression and load profiling. For future work direction, a detailed empirical analysis of the proposed technique can be considered such as the effect of the cost of prediction errors, and the technique's search capability. The obtained results show that the proposed technique improves prediction accuracy and it outperformed several state-of-the-art techniques in several cases. The proposed ensemble technique was experimentally evaluated on electric time series datasets. The proposed ensemble implements an environmental change detection technique to capture concept drift occurring and the intrinsic nonlinearity in time series, hence improving prediction accuracy. In this work, a dynamic particle swarm optimization-based empirical mode decomposition ensemble is proposed for nonstationary data prediction. An ensemble strategically combines multiple techniques and tends to be robust and more precise compared to a single intelligent algorithmic model. Real-world nonstationary data are usually characterized by high nonlinearity and complex patterns due to the effects of different exogenous factors that make prediction a very challenging task.
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